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Volato Group, Inc. (SOAR)·Q2 2025 Earnings Summary

Executive Summary

  • Volato delivered its second consecutive quarterly profit: revenue $24.9M, net income $3.6M, diluted EPS $0.75; EBITDA swung to $1.6M from a loss in the prior year .
  • Year-over-year results improved sharply on aircraft sales (Gulfstream G280 deliveries), with cost discipline and negotiated settlements reducing total liabilities by $19.1M in Q2, to $20.1M at quarter-end .
  • Management raised the near-term outlook, now expecting profitability in Q3 and Q4 2025; an additional Gulfstream G280 delivery in Q4 is projected to add revenue and margin consistent with Q2 levels .
  • Strategic catalyst: expected Q4 2025 close of the all-stock merger with M2i, with integration planning underway; risk factors include required net debt ≤ $10M at closing and customary approvals .

What Went Well and What Went Wrong

What Went Well

  • Aircraft sales drove the quarter: Q2 revenue was $24.9M, including $24.5M from aircraft sales; operating income was $0.9M and net income $3.6M as aircraft sale margins and liability settlements supported profitability .
  • Balance sheet progress: total liabilities fell from $39.2M on March 31 to $20.1M on June 30; SAC Leasing G280 credit facility was fully terminated after repayments linked to deliveries and deposit releases .
  • Management confidence: “We executed with focus and urgency in Q2,” said CEO Matt Liotta; CFO emphasized “disciplined capital management and growing profitability” positioning the Vaunt platform and merger readiness .

What Went Wrong

  • Going concern uncertainty remains: despite H1 net income of $4.1M, management disclosed a working capital deficit of ~$9.3M and substantial doubt about the company’s ability to continue as a going concern absent capital raises and continued aircraft sale margins .
  • Legal overhang: class action alleging WARN Act violations from 2024 layoffs persists; management cannot estimate the range of loss, though it does not expect a material adverse effect at this time .
  • Revenue concentration and execution risk: subscription revenue is still small ($0.355M in Q2) with top line heavily dependent on the aircraft sales timetable and Gulfstream delivery schedule .

Financial Results

MetricQ2 2024Q1 2025Q2 2025
Revenue ($USD Millions)$0.181 $25.5 $24.855
Gross Profit ($USD Millions)$0.147 (calc: Rev–CoR) $4.5 $3.8
EBIT/Operating Income ($USD Millions)$(3.651) N/A (not disclosed)$0.872
Net Income ($USD Millions)$(16.918) $0.5 $3.602
Diluted EPS ($USD)$(14.41) $0.03 $0.75
EBITDA ($USD Millions)$(3.401) $2.657 $1.567
Gross Margin %81.2% (calc: 0.147/0.181) 17.6% (calc: 4.5/25.5) 15.3% (calc: 3.8/24.855)
EBIT Margin %N/M due to small base N/A3.5% (calc: 0.872/24.855)
Net Income Margin %N/M due to small base 2.0% (calc: 0.5/25.5) 14.5% (calc: 3.602/24.855)
EBITDA Margin %N/M due to small base 10.4% (calc: 2.657/25.5) 6.3% (calc: 1.567/24.855)

Segment/Revenue Stream Breakdown

Revenue StreamQ2 2024Q1 2025 (calc)Q2 2025
Aircraft Sales ($USD Millions)$0.000 $25.100 (H1 $49.6 − Q2 $24.5) $24.500
Subscription ($USD Millions)$0.181 $0.383 (H1 $0.738 − Q2 $0.355) $0.355
Total ($USD Millions)$0.181 $25.483 (calc) $24.855

Key KPIs and Balance Sheet Progress

KPIQ1 2025 (Mar 31)Q2 2025 (Jun 30)
Total Liabilities ($USD Millions)$39.2 $20.112
Liability Reduction in Quarter ($USD Millions)$19.1
Cash and Equivalents ($USD Millions)$4.707
Customer Deposits & Deferred Revenue ($USD Millions)$6.840
Working Capital Deficit ($USD Millions)$(9.3)
SAC Leasing G280 Credit Facility Balance ($USD Millions)$0.0

Guidance Changes

MetricPeriodPrevious GuidanceCurrent GuidanceChange
Profitability Outlook (GAAP)Q3 2025Q3 projected negative (delivery timing) Profitable in Q3 and Q4 2025 Raised
Aircraft Delivery (Gulfstream G280)Q4 2025Not explicitly guided in Q1 releaseScheduled delivery in Q4; expected incremental revenue/margin in line with Q2 New/Confirmed
Vaunt PlatformFY 2025Breakeven; expected full-year profitability Expanding footprint; driving top-line growth (profitability not reiterated) Maintained qualitative; detail toned down
Merger Timeline (M2i)Q4 2025On track for Q4 2025 close; integration planning active New
Net Debt Condition (Merger)CloseClosing condition includes net debt ≤ $10M at closing New risk condition

Earnings Call Themes & Trends

Note: A Q2 2025 earnings call transcript could not be located; analysis uses press releases and 10‑Q narrative.

TopicPrevious Mentions (Q1 2025)Current Period (Q2 2025)Trend
AI/technology initiatives (Mission Control, Vaunt)Vaunt at breakeven; platform expected profit in FY25 Vaunt expanding; onboarding customers; expected to drive top-line; Mission Control referenced Positive momentum
Supply chain/aircraft deliveries3rd G280 delivered in April; contribution to Q2 revenue/margin Additional G280 scheduled Q4; deposit return for fourth frame previously negotiated Improving visibility
Tariffs/macroNot highlightedNot highlightedStable/low salience
Regulatory/legalWARN Act suit ongoing; range of loss cannot be estimated Ongoing risk
R&D/software executionInternal software; Vaunt development; breakeven Non-monetary exchange of Mission Control usage; small amortization and reductions Continued focus
Capital structure/deleveragingTargeted settlements; equity raise plan; liabilities down >$20M Further $19.1M liability reduction; SAC facility terminated; EPS improved Strengthening

Management Commentary

  • “We executed with focus and urgency in Q2. Profitability from continuing operations, major liability reductions, and operational growth across our platforms are all signals that our strategy is working—even as we continue to navigate through a complex financial environment.” — Matt Liotta, CEO .
  • “Our disciplined capital management and growing profitability position us well to grow our Vaunt platform and advance our merger with M2i Global.” — Mark Heinen, CFO .
  • Q1 context: “Settling liabilities at a discount and executing on a targeted equity raise [gives] a clear path to stability without excessive dilution.” — Matt Liotta .

Q&A Highlights

  • A Q2 2025 earnings call transcript was not available in our document search; no Q&A highlights could be extracted from primary sources [ListDocuments result showed none; earnings call transcript not found].

Estimates Context

  • Wall Street consensus via S&P Global for Q2 2025 was unavailable for SOAR; comparison to estimates is not possible at this time [GetEstimates returned empty for “Primary EPS Consensus Mean”, “Revenue Consensus Mean”, “EBITDA Consensus Mean”, “Primary EPS - # of Estimates”, “Revenue - # of Estimates” for Q2 2025]. Values retrieved from S&P Global.

Key Takeaways for Investors

  • Aircraft sales execution is the primary earnings driver; Q2 profitability and positive EBIT stemmed from G280 deliveries and sale margins .
  • Balance sheet repair is material and ongoing; liabilities fell to $20.1M, SAC Leasing facility was terminated, improving flexibility ahead of the merger .
  • Near-term outlook improved: management now expects profitability in Q3 and Q4 2025; Q4 delivery adds a tangible revenue/margin catalyst .
  • Vaunt/Mission Control are strategic pillars with growing subscription revenue, though still a small base; execution will determine diversification away from aircraft sales concentration .
  • Going concern and working capital deficits remain central risks; sustaining aircraft sale margins and accessing capital markets are critical to bridge funding needs .
  • Legal exposure (WARN Act) is a watch item; while not expected to be material, adverse outcomes could affect cash and optics ahead of merger closing .
  • Merger with M2i introduces both optionality and integration/closing risk (including net debt threshold); clarity on synergy realization and capital structure at close will be key for stock direction .

Sources:

  • Q2 2025 Form 8‑K (Item 2.02) and Press Release: revenue $24.9M, net income $3.6M, diluted EPS $0.75, EBITDA $1.6M, liabilities reduced by $19.1M; profitability guidance; merger timeline .
  • Q2 2025 Form 10‑Q: detailed financial statements (revenue/costs/EBIT, EPS), revenue composition, discontinued operations, deposits/credit facility, going concern, risk factors, segment info .
  • Q1 2025 Form 8‑K Press Release: revenue $25.5M, net income $0.5M, EPS $0.03, EBITDA $2.657M, liabilities down >$20M; outlook (Q3 negative; Q2/Q4 profitable); Vaunt breakeven .
  • Company IR page with the Q2 press release link .
  • Q2 2025 10‑Q document link .